Till has
over 14 years’ experience in the telecommunications field, having
previously worked as a market analyst for Dataquest Europe
Telecommunications Group and as Technology Strategist for both Psion
Dacom and Psion plc.
Consumers will increasingly expect their mobile devices to act as the
central control point for the management of their media experiences.
ANDREW TILL explores the challenges in delivering simple and compelling
experiences on mobile devices moving forwards…
Over the last ten years,
there has been an outstanding
level of innovation in
the mobile world coupled with
a rapid digitalisation of almost
everything. These two trends
have uniquely combined to
redefine the way millions, if
not billions of people, live
their lives around the world.
The instant access to content,
latest emails or even
Hollywood blockbusters
directly on your mobile are no
longer the stff of science fiction
but something that we
accept as an everyday natural
occurrence.
Ten years ago the smartphone
market did not exist;
indeed Symbian had only just
been born and Linux was far
from being an industry buzzword.
State-of-the-art hand-sets had black and white displays,
picture messaging and a
9.6kbs circuit switched data
capability. Today smartphones
outsell laptops and the mobile
has evolved to be the primary
way mass market consumers
are exposed to MP3 players,
imaging and video capture
experiences and mobile games.
So with such a rapid pace of
innovation what lies in store
for the next five years? While
it’s impossible to cover all the
areas of innovation we are likely
to see, there are some key
themes that I believe will shape
consumer expectations and
requirements moving forwards.
There will be a general trend
to move from passive consumption
of media to active
engagement in the creation,
evolution, discussion and sharing
of media. This will in large
part be driven by the advancement
of displays, both in
terms of size, sharpness and
power, enabling more to be
done on the devices coupled
with improvements around
input mechanisms providing
the flexibility to manage and
enhance media content quickly
and simply. Over the last two
years, we have witnessed a significant
explosion in consumer
accessing online services and
browsing the Internet.
Undoubtedly, this trend has
been led by Japan and Korea
but is now clearly and increasingly
a global development.
During 2008, we have further
seen the rise of consumer blogging
content directly from
their handsets, sending pictures or videos to social media
engagement and networking
sites such as YouTube and
Facebook.
As we move forward, consumers
will seek to have even
richer, deeper experiences that
involve not only the reviewing
and posting of content but the
active participation in its realtime
development. Being able
to capture, edit and share content
directly on your handset,
especially video, will be one of
the key drivers in the near
future. Bringing high quality
product values in a simple and
easy to use manner will transform
the way that consumers
engage not only with each
other but also with businesses
moving forwards. Consider
for a moment the amount of
news footage that is now generated
by mobile devices. Now
imagine as a consumer being
able to capture a news event
on video, adding your own
voice and text commentary,
enhancing the video by removing
or adding scenes with professional
quality transitions
and being able to sell your
story to a news broadcaster.
As consumers become more
engaged in media creation and
sharing so also the requirements
around social networking
will evolve. Today most
consumers are focused on
managing their online profilesand viewing their friends’ sites.
Soon this will evolve into a
much broader community
management experience. Not
only will consumers manage
their profiles but they will seek
to control all aspects of their
digital personality. Let’s take,
for example, the humble ringtone.
Today my friends can
chose to give me a personalised
ringtone attached to my entry
in their phonebook. However,
this ringtone they have chosen
may, or may not, reflect me
and how I perceive myself. In
the future, when I call them it
will play the ringtone or video
ringtone that I have chosen
based on the way I want them
to perceive me. Clearly this is
a very limited example and
with enabling technologies
such as personal micro Web
servers, advanced 3.5G data
services and advanced on -
device media transcoding I will
also be able to manage much
more of my digital persona.
I
may for example wish to publish
my latest Facebook
updates during calls, automatically
synchronise media content
to my friends or families
handsets or simply modify my
imaging to remove those tired
lines during a video call. The
key will be that ownership will
be placed firmly in the users
hands for them to manage and control.
We are also seeing a new
generation of consumers coming
into the market place. At
Motorola, we call them
Generation C. These are the
consumers that have grown up
with text messaging and the
Internet. Mastery of technology
comes easily for these consumers
and they are always
hungry for new experiences.
They are not confined to
Western Europe or North
America but live in all parts of
the world. One of the most
intriguing aspects to
Generation C is their ability to
consume vast amounts of data
simultaneously. Research studies
have found that they can
consume up to 31 hours of
content a day. This is driven
by their ability to perform
advanced multitasking such as
watching TV, while blogging
and conducting IM conversations.
And no, the ability to
multitask is not limited to just
females from Generation C.
This new breed of consumers
has radically different
expectations of how they consume
content and how their
mobile devices should deliver
rich experiences. They are no
longer happy to just engage in
a linear entertainment model
such as simply watching TV
but want to do many things at
once. This will drive significant
changes in how the
mobile devices of tomorrow
are developed and how the
user interfaces (UI) will need
to perform in order to meet
their expectations. Realtime
multitasking and processing
will need to become the standard,
driving new challenges in
both chipset and overall handset
architecture design. We are
already seeing many Operating
System (OS) vendors gear-up
for supporting multiple application
processors within a single
handset.
The need to support intelligent
predictive behavioural
models will also become a key
focus area. Understanding
what to present to the user
when will become critical to
ensuring ease of use. Considerfor a moment that today most
Operating Systems rely on
consumers telling the device
what to do. Consumers will
expect the device to make
decisions about what content
to bring to the foreground in
an elegant manner and to
make decisions about what to
do with other applications also
running on the device. It will
not be enough to simply base
this on a set of rules but will
rather require learning models
that grow to understand the
nuances of that particular consumer.
Consumers will also
increasingly expect their
mobile devices to act as the
central control point for the
management of the media
experiences. This poses
perhaps the greatest challenge
to delivering simple and
compelling experiences moving
forwards. With the evolution
of technologies such as Digital
Living Network Alliance
(DLNA) and UPnP/rUPnP, a
world of seamless connectivity
between consumer electronics
devices should become a
reality. However, it will take time for these technologies to
evolve and become widely
deployed and all the time
consumer expectations are
getting heightened. Therefore,
it is unlikely that it will simply
be enough to provide seamless
connectivity options but rather
that the mobile world will
have to work more closely with
the broader consumer
electronics world to offer
intelligent UI presentation of device capabilities, services and
content navigation to
consumers.
Digital Rights Management
(DRM) is also likely to play a
critical role in enabling or
limiting a multimedia rich
future. Clearly consumers will
wish to share all forms of
content and for many content
owners this is likely to prove
the most effective sales channel
they can exploit. Whilst the
scope of what can be achieved
is almost boundless, the ability
to enable new super
distribution models while
protecting the rights of
content owners will, in reality,
be one of the biggest
challenges the industry will
face in the coming years.
While we have seen a trend
towards rights free music
content over the past 12
months, we are yet to see this
move in to other domains such
as video or gaming.
Clearly there are many other
areas not touched on in this
paper, such as enhancements
in location and presence and
even the continued evolution
of voice and messaging
services, which will also play a
key role in shaping the future
of all our lives. However, the underlying message is clear.
There is no lack of
opportunity for innovation in
the mobile market. Moore’s
Law will continue to drive
forward the hardware
capabilities and at the same
time consumers’ insatiable
appetite for new services, UI
innovations and social
connectivity will continue to
drive software innovation. All
aspects of our day-to-day lives
will continue to be touched
and enhanced by the ever
increasing pace of the mobile
revolution.
We are seeing a
new generation
of consumers
coming into the
market place.
These are the
consumers that
have grown up
with text
messaging and
the Internet.
We call them
Generation C
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